During the US election, fivethirtyeight.com was compulsory reading for everyone interested in predicting who was going to win. Using an advanced data model, the website predicted the election outcome probabilities of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. The evening before polling day, Clinton was the big favorite. Political journalist Clare Malone is visiting The Nordic Media Festival to discuss how US media miscalculated Trump’s victory, the challenges involved in political journalism based on polls and predicitions, and how she sees the future of political journalism under the Trump administration.
(Senior political writer, FiveThirtyEight.com)